Tuesday, 1 September 2015

Canada Q2 GDP -0.5% vs -1.0% expected

The first reading on Canadian Q2 GDP:

  • Estimates ranged from -0.7% to -1.3%
  • Prior revised to -0.8% from -0.6%
  • q/q GDP -0.1%
  • Implicit prices +0.4% q/q
  • June GDP +0.5% vs +0.2% expected (fastest since May 2014)
  • Economy grew 0.6% from a year earlier
Quick drop in USD/CAD.
This is a better than expected report but one metric stands out as a harbinger of worse-to-come. Business investment down 7.9% in Q2 after a 10.9% decline in Q1.

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